KPC Club is now 100x NFT Gaming Club!
Due to some technical difficulties and growth require... Read more
We share all our Crypto trading moves with you in our KCP Club. It is the easiest way if you do not have much time but still want to make money from the fast growing Cryptocurrency market.
In KCP Club we only share with you the final results of our analysis, but here at Kaalama DeepDive: Crypto Whale Alerts and Movement Analysis (KDD) we share with you the tools and steps that we use to analyse crypto whales.
KPC Club is now 100x NFT Gaming Club!
Due to some technical difficulties and growth require... Read more
200 days EMA seems to be strong. I still believe in an upcoming exponential rally.
It’s time ... Read more
Shake outs are normal in the Crypto market but this time it’s too much manipulation in my opinion.... Read more
This unlikely event happened which is not exactly the expected.
But we don’t lose money as lo... Read more
As expected 100 Days EMA was a strong support and RSI shows a buy signal too.
But we are still ... Read more
Expected 74k, but what I got was 54k. Yet, I’m still expecting a strong come back specially after ... Read more
It made me wander why it take more time for #[999] to make the next move when the on chain data and ... Read more
So far my analysis was not wrong. This is another piece of simple technical analysis where I believe... Read more
I added $GALA and $SAND to my second portfolio “Hodl B” before this hype. They are already at 4x... Read more
Important Notice!
Focus & Patience | Focus & Patience | Focus & Patience
In... Read more
Today what’s happening in the market is short selling rather than liquidations. See the percentage... Read more
We looked at the BTC amount held in all exchanges few days ago. Let’s take another look to underst... Read more
The indication given by the liquidations was bullish as per my previous posts. And it’s further co... Read more
Total Liquidations Chart as at now:
As you can notice the peak of liquidations looks over now. ... Read more
What is happening to #[999] now? Liquidations are happening again. Liquidations are not a market cra... Read more
Another simple technical indicator, MACD, in weekly time frame confirms our observations yesterday. ... Read more
A simple technical indicator in weekly time frame indicates that we still have enough time for a cyc... Read more
Even for short term, we still have strong support zones. Let’s see how many more longs to be liqui... Read more
#[999] is down today; liquidations. But I believe we will we are still on the way to new ATHs.
... Read more
Day traders need to understand one thing. Majority of you have to loose money for your minority to m... Read more
TA is good, but on chain analysis is better for medium-long term.
Stablecoins ratio is #[999] U... Read more
Is this a bull trap? Highly unlikely. Pls see my previous tweets to understand why I’m so bullish.... Read more
In order to understand where #[999] is going, we could look in to the All Exchange Netflow in which ... Read more
After Internet, word changed permanently. It is nothing like before anymore. And in this decade, blo... Read more
#[999] market, where is it heading? One of the top indicators I use to answer is attached. Reducing ... Read more
Breakout to upside or downside? I believe in upside but maybe after some bearish candles. #[999] #[9... Read more
While $SOL seems to be overvalued, $FTM seems to be on the way to be overvalued. Is it breaking out ... Read more
#Bitcoin seems strong but seems awaiting for the next ATH. I don’t think it will go in to a bear... Read more
$FTM is consolidating for another run. With it’s market cap, I believe it has more than enough roo... Read more
$SOL and $DOT are on fire. But now we stick to trading $FTM and $ATOM to be on the safe side. #[9158... Read more
Kaalama Crypto Pro Performance Report - Oct - 2021
Trading profit = 46.46%
Unrealized gai... Read more
Why am I bullish? There are many reasons but attached could be the simplest reason. A happened and e... Read more
Do you know why it’s difficult to predict the crypto market?
Mathematically speaking, ... Read more
Why I don’t like Scale Trading?
In my opinion, scale trading is over complicating a si... Read more
#Bitcoin is still holding the line as expected. I believe rhe 200 day moving average will save the... Read more
$DOT needs our the attention I believe. It is yet to hit it’s ATH and faced really well to the cur... Read more
#[999] may come down to 44k again, but nothing to panic as it’s just another consolidation in my o... Read more
44.8k resistance level seems to be holding the line pretty well for now. But we better expect price ... Read more
#[6789] is a classic example to prove the effectiveness of the “Hodling Trader Strategy.”
Re... Read more
Our monthly target in KCP Club is 30%. We are already at 29.7%.
A great month so far, but we wi... Read more
Friends, pls kindly don’t go after meme coins. It’s not worth the risk. Instead focus on infrast... Read more
#[2502] pulled back. Is it just one step or the first of many is the question.
In my openion, a... Read more
Kaalama Crypto Pro Performance Report - Aug - 2021 : Read more
Those who believe that the price is high when its below 50k should be be gone.
Even a panic sel... Read more
As per my observations, #[2502] should touch 50k again and pull back towards 44k - 46k. But I wouldn... Read more
This month’s performance report will be released on time. It’s going to be really good even thou... Read more
A small poll suggests that over 50% crypto traders didn’t make profit even though the market was b... Read more
When the market is in a bull run, scammers start looking for more “bulls”. Just educate yourselv... Read more
As expected, the first shock wave was triggered at 50.5k and absorbed by the market successfully. I... Read more
#[2502] is resting on 50k for hours now. I still didn’t notice big players trying to short the mar... Read more
#[999] gives everyone a fair chance to buy it. “Choice” is what matters the most at the end of t... Read more
What if you can hold and trade at the same time? Won’t it solve the above problems? It would and w... Read more
Many short sellings are going on in #[999] and altcoins markets trying to push the price down. But t... Read more
#[999] is likely to break the 48k barrier as well today. Demand and supply seems to be in harmony ti... Read more
Apparently instead of pulling back, #[2502] keep facing 46k resistance zone for the 4th days. It is ... Read more
Are you good at Fundamental, Technical and Market Analysis? If not, you do not want to miss this art... Read more
#[999] weekly chart looks very promising. MACD is just about to turn green signaling more green week... Read more
Even though #[999] has started a pull back after touching 45k, at 43k the demand and supply is in ha... Read more
I do not think much market analysis is now required to say that we are indeed in a bull run. However... Read more
Kaalama Crypto Pro Performance Report - July - 2021
Read more
Crypto Fear and Greed index is at 60 now. We are moveing towards more greed, which is a positive mar... Read more
It appears that the big moment has finally arrived that all bulls like me long waited for. The trend... Read more
We discussed some market manipulations by big players in my last analysis. However, I do not think t... Read more
In my last article, I discussed possible market manipulation, where bitcoins are dumped in order to ... Read more
In my review last Sunday I mentioned possible market manipulation after Grayscale Unlocking and the ... Read more
This is a very tricky question yet important to understand the current trend of the BTC price and wh... Read more
Apparently, bitcoin whales are silent even today.
As we have already guessed, maybe they ... Read more
Despite all the positive indications given by Kaalama DeepDive analysis, the market is still giving ... Read more
As we all know, now we are in a difficult time to predict the immediate future of the cryptocurrency... Read more
Have 87% of institutional investors left the bitcoin market and not come back?
As per a recent r... Read more
I had been very optimistic during this bitcoin price decline we are experiencing at the moment. I a... Read more
Kaalama DeepDive Weekly Roundup #002
Read more
BTC is still struggling below 34,000 resistance level and if we look from the technical point of vi... Read more
Yesterday, after a strong fight bitcoin won the 33,000 resistance level and is now facing another ch... Read more
Due to the unexpected turn in the price action yesterday, we might need to refresh our understanding... Read more
Based on the bitcoin price action and volume information we had yesterday, I presumed that we should... Read more
Kaalama DeepDive Weekly Roundup #001
Read more
Today we discussed about the possible BTC price action based on simple technical analysis.
How... Read more
Even though we noticed a large green candle with some good volume yesterday, it was reversed immedia... Read more
Yesterday we noticed a strong zone of support and looks like we are correct.
Today we can ... Read more
It appears that BTC is currently resting in a strong zone of resistance. Yet MACD shows a different ... Read more
I believe we are still in a bull market as far as the overall economy is concerned. However, is BTC ... Read more
Yesterday we tried to understand if 32,500 zone is a strong accumulation zone of big players based o... Read more
BTC Order Book as at now.
Are big boys trying to accumulate again at 32,500 or just trying to m... Read more
This is the National Home Price Index, US. Home prices are in a serious bull run indicating an overa... Read more
Kaalama Crypto Pro is here.
Please visit: Read more
Kaalama Crypto Pro is here.
Please visit: Read more
Kaalama Crypto Pro is here.
Please visit: Read more
Kaalama Crypto Pro is here : Read more
කියවන්න: Read more
මේ ආයෝජන සහ ඉතුරුම් සැලසුම තමයි අපේ මා... Read more
මතුවෙන නව වෙළඳපොළ:
Online Cake Shop එකක් කියන්... Read more
ඔබ කැමති නම් මෙතැනින් මට inbox කරන්න: Read more
ඔබ කැමති නම් මෙතැනින් මට inbox කරන්න: Read more
අධ්යාපන ප්රතිසංස්කරණ යෝජනාව - 2022
... Read more
මතුවෙන නව වෙළඳපොළ:
මේ කාලයේ දේශීය ඉඟ... Read more
මතුවෙන නව වෙළඳපොළ:
නැවත රටේ රැකියා ස... Read more
මතුවෙන නව වෙළඳපොළ:
Google හරහා කාලාමය තු... Read more
මතුවෙන නව වෙළඳපොළ:
Logo නිර්මාණය සඳහා ... Read more
මතුවෙන නව වෙළඳපොළ:
දැන් කොරෝනා වසංග... Read more
මතුවෙන නව වෙළඳපොළ:
අලුතින් ව්යාපාර... Read more
තවත් ව්යාපාරික අදහස් සහ දැනුම: Read more
මතුවෙන නව වෙළඳපොළ:
අලුතින් ව්යාපාර... Read more
අදම ලියාපදිංචි වෙන්න: Read more
අදම ලියාපදිංචි වෙන්න: Read more
අද අපි "කාලාම අපි” නමින් සිංහල අවන්හ... Read more
අද අපි "කාලාම අපි” නමින් සිංහල අවන්හ... Read more
අද අපි "කාලාම අපි” නමින් සිංහල අවන්හ... Read more
අද අපි "කාලාම අපි” නමින් සිංහල අවන්හ... Read more
බොහෝ දෙනෙක් දකින හීනයක් තමයි තමන්ගේම ... Read more
මෙතැනින් 6,7,8 සහ 9 කොටස් කියවන්න : Read more
බොහෝ දෙනෙක් දකින හීනයක් තමයි තමන්ගේම ... Read more
346 Technique : Read more
මේ ගෙදර ඉඳලම ආරම්භ කරන්න පුළුවන් ව්ය... Read more
ව්යාපාරික දැනුම සොයන ඔබට,..
තාක්ෂණ... Read more
සම්පත් කලින් කතා කල විදිහට බෝඩිමේ ඉඳල... Read more
මේ තියන්නේ අවශ්ය මග පෙන්වීම Read more
“ලොභයෙක් වගේ වියදම් කලේ නැහැ, පාටි දැම... Read more
බොහෝ දෙනෙකුට ඒ වගේ අදහස් සහ හැකියාවන් ... Read more
බොහෝ රැකියා කරන අයගේ අවශ්යතාවයක් තම... Read more
සිංහල රටේ නිෂ්පාදිත ඔබගේ භාණ්ඩ මෙතැන... Read more
අදම හොඳින් දැනුවත් වෙන්න: Read more
මේ විදිහට ඔබගේ නිෂ්පාදන කාලාමයට එකතු ... Read more
නිවාස 200යේ සරළ ව්යාපාරික ආකෘතිය
Read more
346 Technique එක: Read more
වැඩි විස්තර කියවන්න: Read more
ඒක කළබලෙන් යන්න පුළුවන් ගමනක් නෙවේ. ඉස... Read more
අද මම එංගලන්තයේ ජිවත් වන සිංහල තරුණිය... Read more
අය වැය ඥානය සහ මුදල් පරිපාලනය කියන මාත... Read more
මේ පියවර අනුගමනය කරන්න: Read more
අදාල ලිපිය: Read more
රටේ ආර්ථිකයට ශක්තියක් වෙන්න නම් ධනය උ... Read more
මේ තියන්නේ අපි නොමිළේ ලබා දෙන පාඨමාලා... Read more
මෙතැනින් අපිට එකතු වෙන්න: Read more
බොහෝ දෙනෙක් තමන්ගේ භාණ්ඩ කවුරු හරි පැ... Read more
මේ ලිපිය කියවන්න: Read more
ඔබ අතරින් බොහෝ දෙනෙක් Marketing Plan කියන වචනය ... Read more
මාතෘකාවේ ප්රශ්නයට බොහෝ ප්රතිචාර ලැ... Read more
කුඩා හෝ මධ්යම මට්ටමේ ව්යාපාරිකයෙක්... Read more
අද අපි කතා කරන්න යන්නේ තවත් ඉතාම සරල න... Read more
බොහෝ කුඩා සහ මාධ්ය පරිමාණ ව්යාපාරි... Read more
ආයුබෝවන්,
මේ අලුත් අදහස් නෙවේ, මගේ ... Read more
ඉතාම සරලව කියනවා නම් ඔබ නිත්ය පාරිභෝ... Read more
දැන්වීමක් ලියද්දි අපි ඉස්සෙල්ලම තේරු... Read more
ව්යාපාරයක්ආරම්භ කරමු වැඩසටහන් පෙලේ ... Read more
Crypto Market is no exception but a part of the entire world economy. Therefore, are we bullish or bearish in following markets?
If these markets are bullish or at least sideways, we may consider it as a good sign for the crypto market. We could presume that money is still in circulation and we are, especially the US economy, not in a recession or a depression. Therefore we expect the market to move up in the medium and long term.
However, we should keep watching for long term and short term debt cycles that may crash everything down within a few days or weeks.
Following markets are what we monitor,
In addition we monitor,
If the above markets are favourable we could expect a bullish market in Crypto in general despite any temporary market corrections.
We may then understand the Bitcoin Market Cycle and its relationship with the alt-coins. Unfortunately, we do not have any long term data for bitcoin but shall keep an eye on the 4-year bitcoin market cycle and bitcoin dominance chart.
With this chart, we speculate a possible bear market for bitcoin even if the global economies are bullish. |
When BTC.D is high, altcoins are cheaper. Whales who are interested in accumulating altcoins may wait till a higher value. |
We may understand the market sentiment mainly from social media and news. If fear is fueled up, it could be due to the FUD generated by big players in order to accumulate crypto at bargain prices.
If greed is fueled up, it could be due to the FOMO generated to support a bullish sentiment but may eventually turn into a bearish phase when big players start dumping at higher prices.
The following chart could be used as one indicator to see through the FUD or FOMO in the market and understand the true future direction.
Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) [Pending] |
Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) = Market Cap of BTC in USD / Market cap of all Stablecoins in USD An increase in this ratio could be interpreted as an increase in selling pressure and vice versa. SSR could be considered as one of the most important indicators of market sentiment. |
Whether we agree or not, big players manipulate the crypto markets since there are not many regulations enforced compared to stock or other regular markets. Yet, if we look, we can clearly see what they do.
Thus, with the above information and various methods of technical analysis, we build a hypothesis for “What Crypto Whales might be doing now?” and try to find evidence to back it up with the below information.
|
|||||
This information is interesting, but not nearly sufficient for decision making. See the below charts to understand the meaning of that statement. |
BTC: All Exchanges Reserve [Pending] | All Stablecoins: All Exchanges Reserve [Pending] |
This is the amount of total BTC held in the wallets of all exchanges. Whales do not generally keep BTC in exchanges, but if they do it might mean that they intend to sell, buy altcoin or even margin trading. This is essentially a relative value and therefore should be understood with respect to previous months and years. |
This is the amount of all stablecoins that are held in the wallets of all exchanges. Huge amounts of money generally do not come to exchanges from retail investors but whales. Whales do not save money on exchanges either. Therefore, they may intend to buy BTC or other crypto if this number increases. Again it is a relative value. |
Stablecoins Ratio (USD) [Pending] |
Stablecoins Ratio (USD) = BTC Reserve in USD / Stablecoins reserve in all exchanges. The above two charts may not give us a clear idea of what those numbers mean with respect to each other. Thus, The stable coin Ratio is very important if not the most important whale tracking indicator. An increase in this ratio means that there are more BTC in exchanges compared to stable coins which have a potential high selling pressure. (Why would whales keep more BTC than stablecoins in their pockets or vice versa?) |
Whale Wallet Transactions [Pending] |
Bubbles shown in the chat illustrate the prices where big transactions took place. When we see more or larger bubbles, it could be where whales buy or sell their BTC. We should probably follow the same path. |
Vertical Volume Chart [Pending] |
This is a different presentation of the Whale Wallet Transactions chart. Instead of bubbles, the volumes of selected whale transactions are shown as a vertical histogram. When we see long volume bars, it could be where whales buy or sell their BTC. |
Based on the whale alerts observed at step 3 and technical analysis, we enter and exit from BTC trades.
In the case of altcoins, if the fundamentals are strong, we may assume that altcoins shall follow the price patterns of BTC in the medium term as well but with more volatility.
With this method of trading, we do not need to keep watching 15 minutes or 60 minutes time frames but focus on 4 hour to 1 week time frames and expect to trade once or twice a week maximum.
All the best. Dr. Buddika Adikari Founder of Kaalaama.org and Kaalama Crypto Pro - The Copy Trading Club B.Sc (Moratuwa), PhD (Surrey, UK) © Buddika R B Adikari All Rights Reserved. ——